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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1783.1/787
Title: A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation
Authors: Campbell, John Y.
Chan, Yeung Lewis
Viceira, Luis M.
Keywords: Intertemporal hedging demand
Portfolio choice
Predictability
Strategic asset allocation
Issue Date: Feb-2002
Citation: Journal of financial economics, v. 67, no. 1, January 2003, p. 41-80
Abstract: Much recent work has documented evidence for predictability of asset returns. We show how such predictability can affect the portfolio choices of long-lived investors who value wealth not for its own sake but for the consumption their wealth can support. We develop an approximate solution method for the optimal consumption and portfolio choice problem of an infinitely-lived investor with Epstein-Zin utility who faces a set of asset returns described by a vector autoregression in returns and state variables. Empirical estimates in long-run annual and postwar quarterly US data suggest that the predictability of stock returns greatly increase the optimal demand for stocks. The role of nominal bonds in long-term portfolios depends on the importance of real interest rate risk relative to other sources of risk. We extend the analysis to consider long-term inflation-indexed bonds and find that these bonds greatly increase the utility of conservative investors, who should hold large positions when they are available.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1783.1/787
Appears in Collections:FINA Journal/Magazine Articles

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